CIA Officer Clair Lopez: Obama is a Muslim Terrorist with Brotherhood Ties to Take Down USA

CIA Officer Clair Lopez: Obama is a Muslim Terrorist with Brotherhood Ties to Take Down USA

By TPTnewsfeed – Oct 2, 20153767561Share on FacebookTweet on Twitter

Clare Lopez is a former CIA officer, and she is risking her professional career to call out President Barack Obama in the biggest way possible.

Lopez is well respected in the intelligence community and worked in the Reagan White House. After two decades in the field with the CIA, and as an instructor for special forces and intelligence students, Lopez is now with the Center for Security Policy managing the counter-jihad and Shariah programs.

Now, she is claiming Obama is why America has completely “switched sides” during the war on terrorism. America is now supporting the enemy, especially through the Muslim Brotherhood.

Lopez has been unwilling to speak in public, but has confined with a few members of the House of Representatives her serious concerns about Obama’s motivations about foreign policy decisions.

Lopez noted that the war on terrorism has always been about stopping the spread of Shariah Islamic law, until Obama started to make major changes which clearly supported the Muslim Brotherhood’s jihadist interests.

She said the global war on terror had been an effort to “stay free of Shariah,” or repressive Islamic law, until the Obama administration began siding with such jihadist groups as the Muslim Brotherhood and its affiliates.

The transition was easy for Obama, who already hates American values and principles as an ideologically radical…

WHY THE SWITCH?

LOPEZ EXPLAINED, WHEN THE SO-CALLED ARAB SPRING APPEARED IN LATE 2010, “IT WAS TIME TO BRING DOWN THE SECULAR MUSLIM RULERS WHO DID NOT ENFORCE ISLAMIC LAW. AND AMERICA HELPED.”

AND WHY WOULD OBAMA WANT TO DO THAT?

AS SHE TOLD WND EARLIER THIS MONTH, LOPEZ BELIEVED THE MUSLIM BROTHERHOOD HAS THOROUGHLY INFILTRATED THE OBAMA ADMINISTRATION AND OTHER BRANCHES OF THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT.

SHE ALSO CAME TO THE CONCLUSION OBAMA HAD ESSENTIALLY THE SAME GOALS IN THE MIDEAST AS THE LATE OSAMA BIN LADEN: “TO REMOVE AMERICAN POWER AND INFLUENCE, INCLUDING MILITARY FORCES, FROM ISLAMIC LANDS.”

And,

THE FORMER CIA OPERATIVE SAID, “AS ISRAEL FOUGHT ENEMIES ON ALL SIDES TO REMAIN FREE, SECURE AND JEWISH, AMERICA BEGAN TO MOVE AWAY FROM ISRAEL AND TOWARD ITS MUSLIM ENEMIES. AND, AS IRAN MOVED INEXORABLY TOWARD A DELIVERABLE NUCLEAR WEAPONS CAPABILITY, AMERICA HELPED.”

In addition, Lopez claims that the only reason Obama approved of the killing of Osama bin Laden is he simply couldn’t ignore the chance without looking suspicious. The opportunity presented himself, and he “couldn’t delay it any longer.”

Please share this post with friends on Facebook and Twitter. Every patriot should learn just what side our President is on!

Courtesy: Katie Baker@Right180.com

Sweden: church holds concert to raise money for Islamic State children, outrage ensues

Sweden: church holds concert to raise money for Islamic State children, outrage ensues

MAY 14, 2019 11:30 AM BY CHRISTINE DOUGLASS-WILLIAMS88 COMMENTS

“A church in Gothenburg’s Högsbo parish in Sweden” arranged a concert to raise money in support of bringing back children of the Islamic State. Högsbo parish priest Lina Westberg said “We want to work for them to come to Sweden.”

Such action done in the Christian spirit of ‘turning the other check’ and feeding one’s enemies flies in the face of another aspect to such Christian instruction: “Give not that which is holy unto the dogs, neither cast ye your pearls before swine, lest they trample them under their feet, and turn again and rend you.”  This warning (Matt 7:6) is clearly symbolic as humans are not animals and is intended to impart wisdom into acts of kindness. IS children are extremely dangerous.

This article HERE reveals the core training of these “Cubs of ISIS” which includes the most inhumane, violent indoctrination, vigorous weapons and psychological training, betrayal even of parents if necessary, and actual executions committed by the children.

The Church in Högsbo dismisses the intense suffering of victims and also disregards all safety considerations of Sweden’s citizens. Folly has taken precedence over kindness. Many were rightly outraged by the Gogsbo parish church on social media over “the Evangelical Lutheran Church of Sweden’s involvement and overall stance.” As one of many users stated….

“Wondering if the Church of Sweden devoted even a tenth of its time to Christian victims Galvez’s daughter and her man slaughtered, raped, murdered and tortured in Iraq and Syria?”

“Outrage Over Swedish Church’s Support Concert for ‘Daesh Children’”,  Sputnik International, May 13, 2019:

While Sweden has contributed some 300 jihadists to the terrorists’ cause in the Middle East, the number of children born to Swedish jihadists and Daesh brides has been estimated at 60 to 80.

A church in Gothenburg’s Högsbo parish has arranged a support concert in order to raise money for several dozen Daesh children with a connection to Sweden left in refugee camps across the Middle East, national broadcaster SVT reported.

Högsbo parish priest Lina Westberg said that it was “a matter of course” for her to open the church’s doors for this purpose.

“We gladly step in if the members have wishes. And this situation is very much a matter for the church itself”, Westberg said.

By her admission, the congregation wants to focus on all Swedish Daesh children, whose number is estimated between 60 and 80, to be taken “home”.

“We want to work for them to come to Sweden”, Westberg said.

At the same time, a specific fund-raising effort was held to help the seven orphans of the late jihadist and terrorist recruiter Michael Skråmo, who is also known by his Islamic name Abou Ibrahim al-Swaidi. Skråmo, who was reported dead in March 2019, was often labelled Scandinavia’s “most dangerous” terrorist.

The concert was held on Saturday night at the Högsbo church in Gothenburg with the purpose of raising money for Skråmos’ father-in-law, Patricio Galvez, whose recent efforts to bring his orphaned grandchildren home have been glorified by national broadcaster SVT. Galvez is currently in the Iraqi city of Erbil, where his seven grandchildren were transported from Baghouz in Syria to the Swedish consulate in Iraq. SVT described the unification as a “joyful scene”.

On social media, many were extremely critical of the Evangelical Lutheran Church of Sweden’s involvement and overall stance.

“Wondering if the Church of Sweden devoted even a tenth of its time to Christian victims Galvez’s daughter and her man slaughtered, raped, murdered and tortured in Iraq and Syria?” an indignant user wrote.

READ MORE: Swedish Gov’t Grilled for ‘Deranged’ Plans to Bring Back Daesh Children

“Högsbo church. As beautiful on the outside as its priests on the inside. Praise God, the public service and the murderers for Daesh children!” another user tweeted, posting a photograph of the Högsbo church, and a concrete block……

US: Tennessee Imam Abu Ammaar Yasir Qadhi: “Jews and Christians are Filthy, Their Lives and Property can be Taken in Jihad by the Muslims”

Imam Yasir Qadhi

Tennessee Imam Abu Ammaar Yasir Qadhi: “Jews and Christians are Filthy, Their Lives and Property can be Taken in Jihad by the Muslims”
TIM BROWN
Tennessee Imam Abu Ammaar Yasir Qadhi: “Jews and Christians are Filthy, Their Lives and Property can be Taken in Jihad by the Muslims”

Abu Ammaar Yasir Qadhi, a Memphis Imam based in Tennessee, preaches openly about what Islam truly is. He makes no bones about thinking that anyone other than a Muslim doesn’t deserve anything and are less than Muslims. In fact, part of Yasir Qadhi’s preaching includes rhetoric that says non-Muslims lives are forfeit and their property is legal for Muslims to take in jihad, (and this would include women as sex slaves) Recently Yasir Qadhi said that “Jews and Christians filthy, their lives and property can be taken in jihad by the Muslims.”

Yasir Qadhi is not only a Memphil Imam, but is is also the Dean of Academic Affairs at the Al-Maghrib Institute. He is a hafiz (has memorized the Qur’an) and he has an M.A. in the Islamic Creed and a B.A. in Islamic Sciences from Islamic University of Medina, as well as a master’s and a doctorate in Islamic Studies from Yale.

Yasir Qadhi Islamic JIhad Preacher
Yasir Qadhi
Islamic Jihad Preacher Imam Abu Ammar Yasir Qadhi
Islamic Jihad Preacher Imam Abu Ammar Yasir Qadhi

yasir qadhi During a lecture on Shirk, or polytheism, Yasir Qadhi said that Jews and Christians are mushrikoon, or polytheists, because they have made partners with Allah. From Yasir Qadhi’s perspective, only Muslims are monotheists.

He also claims that it is the responsibility of every single human being to bear witness that there is no deity worthy of worship except Allah, and him alone.

Now pay attention here. Yasir Qadhi now will tell you what the result and command that stems from this twisted principle.

“And it is because of this same principle of monotheism that the prophet has been commanded to do jihad.”

OK, now we’re getting somewhere. Did all of you alleged “moderate” Muslims out there get that? Of course, you did. You know this. You know jihad is not just some internal struggle. It isn’t about losing weight or getting in shape or some personal goal to be obtained. It is a holy war to advance the caliphate, the Islamic State.

While jihad is not the goal, Qadhi says, it is the means. “It is a means to establish monotheism on the land,” Qadhi says.

Let me translate that for any who are still skeptical and buying into the lie that Islam is peaceful. Jihad is a means, a violent means, to an end, or goal, where Islam dominates the United States. In fact, Islam believes it will dominate the world, and I emphasize the word dominate.

Qadhi claims that he “has been commanded to fight the people until they testify.”

“The whole reason why Allah has created us and sent the prophet and revealed the books, and differentiated us based upon this principle and allowed for jihad, is the basis and is the principle of monotheism,” he continues. “The life and property of a “Mushrik” (someone who does not worship Allah) holds no value in the state of jihad.”

As if that wasn’t outlandish enough, Yasir Qadhi continues by attempting to differentiate that life is valuable at times, just not when jihad is going on. Well, who knows when that is going on?

Qadhi said, “The life and property of a mushrik [one who worships others besides Allah] holds no value in the state of jihad….which means if they don’t sayla illaha illa Allah, their lives and property are halal” — that is, permitted to be taken by the Muslims. “The prophet, and I quoted the hadith before, ‘I have been commanded to fight the people until” they profess that there is no god but Allah, and once they convert to Islam, “their life and property become protected from them.”

What does all of that mean? I’m glad you asked and so is Yasir Qadhi. This “means if they don’t” convert to Islam, “their life and property are halal (or in this case, free for the taking legally) for the muslims.”

He then goes on to say that Christians commit “shirk,” they are unbelievers, and they are polytheists.

Then he gets into ad hominem attacks on Christians. “They are filthy, a spiritual filthiness which can only be purified by the purity of tawheed (monotheism).” He then adds that Allah believes anyone who is not a Muslim is a “nudge.” In other words, a nudge, in Arabic is “najasa,” and it means that you are “feces, urine, filthy, or contaminated.”

Well, I have news for Yasir Qadhi and all Muslims. The God of the Bible says you are filthy and you distort his teachings and he will come one day to judge you, but should you fail to repent and believe the gospel of Jesus Christ and seek to pursue a jihad on American soil, we will see your jihad and raise you another crusade if you seek to push this filthy, backwards, disgusting and immoral ideology of Islam on us.

Islam’s Conquest Of America Through Creeping Sharia

Additional Articles By Kelleigh Nelson
Islam’s Conquest Of America Through Creeping Sharia
Jan 08, 2019 Read More Articles by Kelleigh Nelson
Sharia law is a political system that is authoritarian, violent and supremacist at its core. Sharia contains regulations that mandate death for those who exercise their freedom of conscience and want to leave Islam, for those who are deemed to have blasphemed against Islam by insulting Allah or the Quran or the prophet or by even speaking honestly about their contents in ways that Muslims object to. — Robert Spencer

When our elected officials decide to make new laws, they should have in mind our national interests first. They should realize that foreign laws such as sharia will never be compatible with our Constitution or our way of life. — Amil Imani

Sharia is far more than a legal system of laws. It includes theology, law, philosophy, religious rituals and morals. The Sharia claims to be Allah’s law and must replace all other forms of government. — Dr. Bill Warner

The “Global Jihadist Movement,” has the mission of spreading Sharia Law throughout the United States. — John Guandolo

Truth has now become the new hate speech. — Pamela Geller

Devvy Kidd’s recent article, 2019: The Year We the People Say No More was superb. If you missed it, make sure you read it because the number of Islamists elected to federal, state and local politics is a warning shot to American citizens. We are being overrun and few have taken notice.

Sharia, or Islamic religious law, is a growing threat to the United States. The steady adoption of sharia’s tenets is a strategy Muslims are using to transform America into an Islamic state.


Christianity, Judaism, Buddhism, Hinduism, and other lesser known religions do not mandate death for those who do not agree with their faith. Only Islam kills the infidel.
It dictates death by stoning, beheading, amputation of limbs, and flogging. Fourteen nations have the death penalty for homosexuals, and five of them carry it out.

Nonie Darwish’s article, Sharia for Dummies, lays out the tenets of sharia which proves it is incompatible with the U.S. Constitution despite politicians and pundits like Texas Republican David Barton who believe it is.

Islamic Doctrine is Totalitarian

Dr. Bill Warner explains Islamic doctrine…Totalitarianism is found in the very name, Islam. Islam means submission, submission to the Koran and the Sunna of Mohammed. We see the basis for absolute power in Mohammed’s life. After he went to Medina, he became a jihadist and attacked his neighbors. When he arrived in Medina, it was half Jewish. In two years, there were no more Jews left in Medina. They were exiled, assassinated, enslaved and executed. Mohammed attacked the pagans of Arabia and the Jews. After Arabia submitted to Islam, Mohammed turned to Syria and attacked the Christians.

In the end, Political Islam will not tolerate opposition. Here is a sample of some of the Islamic political doctrine of absolute, total power:

Koran 2:193 Fight them [Kafirs] until there is no more discord and the religion of Allah reigns absolute, … (Kafirs are infidels or non-believers)

Here are two hadiths:

Muslim 001, 0031 Mohammed: “I have been ordered to wage war against mankind until they accept that there is no god but Allah and that they believe I am His prophet and accept all revelations spoken through me. …

Bukhari 4, 52, 196 Mohammed: “I have been directed to fight the Kafirs until every one of them admits, ‘There is only one god and that is Allah.’

Today the power of Islam is increasing over the globe due to jihad and migration. After it enters a society, Islam rules given enough time. The result of Islamic political doctrine is that all power – political, cultural, and religious–becomes totally Islamic. Islam is the most successful totalitarian system in history. There are post-Communist societies and post-Nazi societies but, there are no post Islamic societies. Link

Fifty years ago, we would have said this is impossible, but today in Brooklyn, New York, we now have Muslim sharia patrol cars that are nearly identical to New York City Police Department cruisers, and these sharia patrol cars are actually allowed to cruise the streets of New York City.

Sharia is here!

American Law v Sharia Law

Islam is not just a religion, it is a complete civilization with a detailed political system, religion, and legal code – the sharia. Jihad is political action with a religious motivation, and sharia law is the political implementation of the Islamic civilization.

Under sharia there is no freedom of religion, of speech, of thought, of artistic expression, of the press, of equality of peoples, of equal rights for women, of different classes of people…there is one set of laws for Muslim males and different laws for women and non-Muslims. Women can be beaten, murdered and sexually mutilated. A non-Muslim cannot bear arms. There is no democracy…our Constitution is a man-made document of ignorance, jahiliyah that must submit to sharia. Non-Muslims are dhimmis, third class citizens. All governments must be ruled by sharia law, and unlike common law, sharia is not interpretive, nor can it be changed. There exists no Golden Rule.

Sharia’s Demands on Society

Here are just a few examples of sharia at work in American society as told by Dr. Bill Warner in his book, Sharia Law for Non-Muslims. The majority of democrats support prayer spaces for Muslims, but not for Christians or Jews.

When schools and employers are asked to give up a room for Islamic prayer, that is asking us to implement sharia law.
When a Muslim wears a head scarf, that is in obedience to sharia law.
When our newspapers would not publish the Danish Mohammed cartoons, our newspapers were submitting to the demands of sharia law.
When demands are made for our hospitals to treat Muslim women in special ways, that is sharia.
When Muslim men cannot be touched by female nurses, that is sharia law.
When our textbooks have to be vetted by Muslim organizations prior to being used in our schools, that is in accordance with sharia law.

When foot baths are demanded in colleges, universities and airports, that’s sharia law, and taxpayers fund it.
Six Muslim Airforce airmen can now wear beards thanks to a recently granted religious accommodation waiver. That is sharia law.
An Islamic Republic

The 2018 midterms elected two Muslim women to Congress — Ilhan Omar of Minnesota and Rashida Tlaib of Michigan. Since they both wear the traditional hijab, Nancy Pelosi will move to repeal 180-year rule prohibiting head coverings on the floor of Congress. Some suggested that all the women in Congress wear the hijab in solidarity with their new Muslim colleagues, making America an Islamic Republic.

Representative Ilhan Omar, the Somali Muslim from Minneapolis who replaces Keith Ellison, has already reversed her position on the BDS (Boycott, Divest, Sanction) Movement that seeks to delegitimize Israel now that she is safely elected. Since she has cited no reasons for changing her mind, she must have been lying.

Deception is part of Islam. Allah is a deceiver. Mohammed was a deceiver, and therefore, every Muslim can be a deceiver. This is Taqiyya or sacred deception. So, the next time you’re hearing something about Islam that just doesn’t sound right, and it comes from the mouth of a Muslim, you’re right. It’s not right. It’s a lie. It is Taqiyya.

Newly elected Detroit congresswoman, Rashida Tlaib, used Thomas Jefferson’s two volume English translation of the Koran for her swearing-in ceremony, as did Ilhan Omar. Tlaib wore a Palestinian robe to show she is firmly in the anti-Israel camp.

It is not Jefferson’s Koran. It is Mohammed’s Koran. Jefferson owned a Koran to understand and defeat the Islamic Barbary Pirates. That was the first war on terror. How many members of Congress have read the Koran & Sunna from cover to cover or have any idea what is written on these pages? Rashida Tlaib, by swearing her oath on a Koran, commits an act of sedition. Link

Rashida Tlaib, D-Islam who boasted in a foul-mouthed tirade that the new Democratic House leadership will impeach ‘motherf***er’ Donald Trump doubled down on Twitter, refusing to apologize. This woman should immediately be impeached!

These Democrat communist fools are playing into the hands of our destruction by embracing these barbaric savages, and our dumbed down electorate puts them in office over us.

This is sharia!

Sharia Attacks Christians

Robert Spencer’s article in Frontpage Magazine tells of a Christmas Eve Washington Times report about Muslims in Uganda forcing Christians to convert to Islam. Muslims now consider any public statement of the Christian Faith to be a calculated insult to Muslims, for which they can justifiably exact revenge. This is, or should be, sobering news for the comfortable Christians of the West who have made an idol out of “interfaith dialogue” and fastidiously avoid saying anything remotely critical about Islam, even as the Muslim persecution of Christians continues worldwide.

“In June,” the Times reported, “a group of Muslims attacked Christian preachers in eastern Uganda during a ‘crusade,’ where Christians publicly profess their faith and invite others to join. Muslims in the town accused the Christians of mocking Islam by publicly saying Jesus was the Son of God.”

This is sharia.

Sharia Attacks Jews and Israel

Islamic anti-Semitism continues to manifest itself around the country and it is driven by Islamic migration. Authorities in Los Angeles have arrested a Somali Muslim man suspected of attempting to run down Orthodox Jews outside of a synagogue during the Sabbath. When he missed them a second time, the driver struck a traffic sign. He then exited the vehicle, started screaming obscenities and anti-Semitic curses.

Rewriting the history of the Land of Israel in order to deny Israel’s right to exist is central to Palestinian Authority (PA) policy. Long before it started the PA terror campaign (the “Intifada,” 2000-2005), the PA was fighting a history war – erasing Jewish history and replacing it with a fabricated Palestinian history. This rewriting has two central goals:

1- Erase the Jewish nation’s 3,000-year history in the Land of Israel;
2- Invent ancient Palestinian, Muslim and Arab histories in the land.

The Palestinian Authority is now trying to turn Jesus into a Muslim Palestinian.

The Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR) is announcing a lawsuit against the state of Texas for passing anti-BDS legislation last year. The BDS movement against Israel aims to strangle the Jewish state economically while at the same time calls for the flooding of Palestinians into Israel to destroy the Jewish character of the state.

Muslim Linda Sarsour, one of the leaders of the Women’s March who called on a jihad against President Trump, openly supports violent plots against Jews. Nation of Islam leader Louis Farrakhan has openly spewed venom against America’s Jews. Farrakhan leveled more vitriolic attacks against Jews when he spoke at a Chicago mosque last summer.

This too is sharia.

Muslim Physician and Jewish Patients

The world-famous Cleveland Clinic in Cleveland, Ohio, employed a Muslim resident physician, Lara Kollab, 27. In 2012 she had tweeted that she would give Yahood (Jews) the wrong medicine. She has been fired from her job at the Clinic. She started at the Clinic on July 1, 2018 and when her tweets were discovered in September she was immediately fired. Link

A full list of her hate can be seen here. Lara Kollab has called for violence against Jews, spread anti-Semitism, trivialized the Holocaust, defended the terror organization Hamas and supported terrorists on Twitter. She has also compared Israel to Nazi Germany, spread anti-Semitic conspiracy theories and hatred of Israel, and accused Israel of exploiting the Holocaust.

Kollab is a supporter of the BDS movement and a supporter of Students for Justice in Palestine (SJP). She is also is affiliated with Al Awda.

This hate was allowed on Twitter for years. Six years later it has been expunged.

This is sharia.

World Hijab Day

In one of the most pathetic and destructive displays of virtue signaling, non-Muslim women are once again being urged to wear the garment of oppression, subjugation and misogyny. While women are fighting and dying for their most basic rights, especially those in Iran, left-wing morons are working to impose the misogyny of sharia.

The woman who wears a hijab represents that she is fully committed to sharia and its political consequences. The hijab is a symbol that says to non-Muslims that they are kafirs (unbelievers, infidels). For 1400 years there’s been jihad against the kafirs…a history of annihilation, death and suffering. The bulk of the Koran is about the kafir and that they are to be destroyed.

Yet the liberal fools and many Christian churches believe girls of all faiths, backgrounds, and ethnicities should “voice their choice” of wearing the headscarf for 24 hours on February 1, 2019 in solidarity with Muslim women across the world. Yes, they’re calling for solidarity with the most evil political movement in the world. Chapter 48, verse 29 of the Koran says, “Mohammed is the apostle of Allah, those who follow him are merciful to one another, but ruthless to the unbelievers.”

This is sharia!

Conclusion

The Bush and Obama administrations embraced the Muslim Brotherhood, and HAMAS-CAIR. Some of these Muslims’ advocates have been issued top secret security clearances. They have been privy to, and helped to write policy and training for many federal agencies. Purchase and read See Something, Say Nothing: A Homeland Security Officer Exposes the Government’s Submission to Jihad, by Philip Haney.

Sharia is in every facet of American society, from politics to football, including Kaepernick’s kneeling during the Anthem. Islam is being taught in government schools while Judaism and Christianity are banned.

The goal is an Islamic America and sharia is the pathway.

© 2018 NWV – All Rights Reserved

E-Mail Kelleigh Nelson: Proverbs133@bellsouth.net

Kelleigh Nelson

Author Email: Proverbs133@bellsouth.net
Kelleigh Nelson has been researching the Christian right and their connections to the left, the new age, and cults since 1975. Formerly an executive producer for three different national radio talk show hosts, she was adept at finding and scheduling a variety of wonderful guests for her radio hosts. She and her husband live in Knoxville, TN, and she has owned her own wholesale commercial bakery since 1990. Prior to moving to Tennessee, Kelleigh was marketing communications and advertising manager for a fortune 100 company in Ohio. Born and raised in Chicago, Illinois, she was a Goldwater girl with high school classmate, Hillary Rodham, in Park Ridge, Illinois. Kelleigh is well acquainted with Chicago politics and was working in downtown Chicago during the 1968 Democratic convention riots. Kelleigh is presently the secretary for Rocky Top Freedom Campaign, a strong freedom advocate group. Email: Proverbs133@bellsouth.net Website: http://www.rockytopfreedom.com

Author Email: Proverbs133@bellsouth.net

Sabotage the Movie

How the Islamists, Marxists and Their “Useful Idiots” Are Destroying America from Within. Order now at www.Sabotagethemovie.com

U.N. Replacement Migration Report Issued in 2000 to for the Islamization of the World

NEW REPORT ON REPLACEMENT MIGRATION ISSUED BY UN POPULATION DIVISION

Press Release
DEV/2234
POP/735

NEW REPORT ON REPLACEMENT MIGRATION ISSUED BY UN POPULATION DIVISION
20000317

NEW YORK, 17 March (DESA) — The Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs (DESA) has released a new report titled “Replacement Migration: Is it a Solution to Declining and Ageing Populations?”. Replacement migration refers to the international migration that a country would need to prevent population decline and population ageing resulting from low fertility and mortality rates.

United Nations projections indicate that between 1995 and 2050, the population of Japan and virtually all countries of Europe will most likely decline. In a number of cases, including Estonia, Bulgaria and Italy, countries would lose between one quarter and one third of their population. Population ageing will be pervasive, bringing the median age of population to historically unprecedented high levels. For instance, in Italy, the median age will rise from 41 years in 2000 to 53 years in 2050. The potential support ratio — i.e., the number of persons of working age (15-64 years) per older person — will often be halved, from 4 or 5 to 2.

Focusing on these two striking and critical trends, the report examines in detail the case of eight low-fertility countries (France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Republic of Korea, Russian Federation, United Kingdom and United States) and two regions (Europe and the European Union). In each case, alternative scenarios for the period 1995-2050 are considered, highlighting the impact that various levels of immigration would have on population size and population ageing.

Major findings of this report include:

— In the next 50 years, the populations of most developed countries are projected to become smaller and older as a result of low fertility and increased longevity. In contrast, the population of the United States is projected to increase by almost a quarter. Among the countries studied in the report, Italy is projected to register the largest population decline in relative terms, losing 28 per cent of its population between 1995 and 2050, according to the United Nations medium variant projections. The population of the European Union, which in 1995 was larger than that of the United States by 105 million, in 2050, will become smaller by 18 million.

— Population decline is inevitable in the absence of replacement migration. Fertility may rebound in the coming decades, but few believe that it will recover sufficiently in most countries to reach replacement level in the foreseeable future.

– 2 – Press Release DEV/2234 POP/735 17 March 2000

— Some immigration is needed to prevent population decline in all countries and regions examined in the report. However, the level of immigration in relation to past experience varies greatly. For the European Union, a continuation of the immigration levels observed in the 1990s would roughly suffice to prevent total population from declining, while for Europe as a whole, immigration would need to double. The Republic of Korea would need a relatively modest net inflow of migrants — a major change, however, for a country which has been a net sender until now. Italy and Japan would need to register notable increases in net immigration. In contrast, France, the United Kingdom and the United States would be able to maintain their total population with fewer immigrants than observed in recent years.

— The numbers of immigrants needed to prevent the decline of the total population are considerably larger than those envisioned by the United Nations projections. The only exception is the United States.

— The numbers of immigrants needed to prevent declines in the working- age population are larger than those needed to prevent declines in total population. In some cases, such as the Republic of Korea, France, the United Kingdom or the United States, they are several times larger. If such flows were to occur, post-1995 immigrants and their descendants would represent a strikingly large share of the total population in 2050 — between 30 and 39 per cent in the case of Japan, Germany and Italy.

— Relative to their population size, Italy and Germany would need the largest number of migrants to maintain the size of their working-age populations. Italy would require 6,500 migrants per million inhabitants annually and Germany, 6,000. The United States would require the smallest number — 1,300 migrants per million inhabitants per year.

— The levels of migration needed to prevent population ageing are many times larger than the migration streams needed to prevent population decline. Maintaining potential support ratios would in all cases entail volumes of immigration entirely out of line with both past experience and reasonable expectations.

— In the absence of immigration, the potential support ratios could be maintained at current levels by increasing the upper limit of the working-age population to roughly 75 years of age.

— The new challenges of declining and ageing populations will require a comprehensive reassessment of many established policies and programmes, with a long-term perspective. Critical issues that need to be addressed include: (a) the appropriate ages for retirement; (b) the levels, types and nature of retirement and health care benefits for the elderly; (c) labour force participation; (d) the assessed amounts of contributions from workers and employers to support retirement and health care benefits for the elderly population; and (e) policies and programmes relating to international migration,

– 3 – Press Release DEV/2234 POP/735 17 March 2000

in particular, replacement migration and the integration of large numbers of recent migrants and their descendants.

The report may be accessed on the internet site of the Population Division (http://www.un.org/esa/population/unpop.htm). Further information may be obtained from the office of Joseph Chamie, Director, Population Division, United Nations, New York, NY, 10017, USA; tel. 1-212-963-3179; fax 1-212-963-2147.